Cleopatra's Caboose

Cleopatra’s nose or Chance in History refers to a deterministic view of history that suggests that history, by and large, is a chapter of accidents.

Cleopatra

It originates from the writings of the French mathematician, Blaise Pascal. His posthumously published writings, titled Pensées. Pascal, in these writings, remarked, “Cleopatra’s nose, had it been shorter, the whole face of the world would have been changed.”

He believed that had Cleopatra’s nose been smaller, she would have lacked dominance and strength of character that an impressive nose granted, in her times and that, if her nose had been different, great men like Caesar and Antony would not have fallen under her spell and we might still be speaking Latin.

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The theory itself was first suggested by a Harvard palaeontologist, Steven Jay Gould, who wondered what would have happened if on the day that life on this planet started it had been raining instead of sunny.

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Cleopatra's Caboose Board Game

This theory attributes history to merely chance happenings and the most casual of causes. Such as King Louis XIV and his entourage went to seek shelter at the queen’s palace and this resulted in the king and queen, who despised each other and would otherwise spend a night together, sharing one and a great king being born out of such a chance occurrence.

When Alexander of Greece died in the autumn of 1920 from the bite of a pet monkey, it touched off a series of events that lead to Churchill remarking that “a quarter of a million persons die of monkey bites.”

This theory, though having grown popular in recent times, has found some tough critics in a vast majority of historians. E. H. Carr expresses his views b calling the theory unsatisfactory and unconvincing and writes that the roles of chance as a cause in history are “seriously exaggerated”

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Cleopatra's Caboose

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He reasons that an accidental occurrence such as Lenin’s premature death at fifty-four a has no reason to automatically be compensated by some other accident to restore historical process.

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Cleopatra’s nose is a theory that is perhaps and intriguing as its name and seems to only be rising in popularity in recent times